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We come to conclusion of our survey of the eonic
effect and the properties of our eonic model resolve in beautiful fashion at one
stroke the paradoxes of the rise of the modern. Our eonic sequence with
mathematical precision leapfrogs to the frontier area of one its prior
oikoumenes. This is the clue to the sudden explosion of modernity at the fringes
of its previous zones of action. The data of the eonic effect is at first very
puzzling, but its suggestion is very direct on this point: the rise of modernity
is an eonic transition, best seen as three centuries in length, 1500 to 1800,
climaxed by the Great Divide in the generation of the Industrial Revolution,
thence generating the rapidly expanding forms of modernist globalization. How
can it be this way? A discrete-continuous model comes to the rescue by
displacing the question onto the greater scale of world history since the first
‘modernities’ of Sumer and Egypt.
This
issue has long been distracted by the seemingly Eurocentric implications of such
a view. But the modern transition is only marginally a ‘European’
phenomenon. Every stage of our eonic sequence has suffered this entanglement of
the staging area and its emergent oikoumene. The modern case is no exception,
but we can see the rapid-fire attempts of the period of the Enlightenment to
produce canons of universal culture under the aegis of Reason. Central to
modernity is the rebirth of Science, but this should not distract us from the
need to understand the greater spectrum of effects gestating in our transition.
Consider the triggering effect of the Protestant Reformation: it partitions
Europe into two sectors, and feeds a new future from behind this partition.
The
clear suggestion that the Protestant Reformation, next to the parallel emergence
of Science, is the first stage of a sequence leading to the Enlightenment ought,
even at this late date, to give pause to religious traditionalists who wish to
defy the momentum of the eonic sequence with postmodern retrogression. The rise
of the modern has all the requirements for a Second Axial Age, and
traditionalist attacks on its secular character have missed the point. The
paradox is resolved in the German Enlightenment, whose descant on enlightenment
rationality constitutes the conclusion of the Reformation, and its full
potential reveals the false contradiction of the sacred and the secular. The
stages of the modern transition resemble the Axial phenomenon of Axial Greece in
the Archaic period onward, the seventeenth century being the pivot point whence
emerges the cornucopia of effects so visible at the point of the divide.
Sixteenth
century: Reformation, Copernican Revolution, German Revolution
Seventeenth century: Scientific Revolution, birth of Enlightenment,
English Civil War, birth of liberalism
Eighteenth Century: Flowering of multiple Enlightenments, English,
German, French, American. Industrial Revolution, French and American Revolutions
The Great Divide: the climactic conclusion of the modern transition
A New Age Begins The onset of a new era of world history rapidly shifting
from its frontier jumpstart zone toward globalization
Five Centuries of Modernity Just as with the Axial Age where we saw an
approximate three centuries of dynamic seeding, followed by two centuries of
rapid realization and a heated flowering, so with the modern period we see the
same two centuries after the Great Divide in a prolonged take-off. We must be
wary of falling into the same slide of decline and chaotification that overtook
the ancient world in the post-Axial period.
The amount of
study required for this immensely complex transformation is immense, and yet we
can suddenly see with a bird’s eye view the whole transition, which has an
overall unity and coherence, operates holistically on multiple aspects of
culture, and generates a clear metanarrative of evolutionary action. The seeming
contradiction between slow continuous development from medievalism and rapid
emergence in the discontinuous action of the eonic sequence disappears in our
formulation.
We
should reiterate that we are not speaking of Western Civilization, nor is
modernity a phenomenon of Christian culture. The effect echoes directly the
eonic master sequence in regenerating the gains lost in the post-Axial
chaotification of antiquity. In light of the eonic model, we see that at every
stage a local cultural complex is the staging area for a renewed generation of a
globalizing oikoumene. This is a very strange way to take the question, at
first, but used with care, this idea will resolve the hopeless muddle of
historical analysis stuck between continuity/discontinuity arguments with
respect to the Middle Ages. We have even thrown light on the intractable
difficulties of Eurocentrism, because we can see that the ‘modern
transition’ is just that, a transition, following a frontier effect, that
takes off right on schedule just at the fringes of the old Roman oikoumene. The
effect thus has nothing as such to do with ‘European civilization’, a notion
that will blind us to what is going on. We can then look at the phenomenon of
the Great Divide, one of the most spectacular moments of world history,
notwithstanding the considerable postmodern dialectic to which it has been
subjected.
The
Great Divide As noted, if we adopt the transition model for the eonic
pattern, we indirectly imply that there is an end to the transitional interval
and this gives us one of the great interior ‘predictions’ of the eonic
model. We saw this in the case of Greece and Israel. 2400 years later to the
decade, another example is evident. This means we should examine the period
around 1800 (or, more roughly 1750 to 1850) to see if we can detect this effect.
In fact, we have stumbled on the explanation for one of the most remarkable
periods in world history, a generation of massive innovations encompassing all
aspects of culture, from the Enlightenment to the birth of modern capitalism to
the French Revolution and the rebirth of democracy. We can see now that the
intensity of this period is no accident. We note also that much that was
innovative in this period was clearly gestating from the time of sixteenth
century.
Our
transition very clearly ignites in the sixteenth century, with the Protestant
Reformation, the first of the great modern revolutions, and parallel to this we
see the rapid emergence of the Scientific Revolution. The conflicts of the
Reformation yield to the real birth of modernity in the seventeenth century, and
we witness the birth of the Enlightenment period. By the end of the eighteenth
century the basic interval of the transition is complete, and we see the
remarkable phenomenon of the Great Divide, at close hand. We suddenly have some
accounting for the fact that the generation around 1800 is immensely fertile and
packed with innovations in all fields. Then, just as clearly we can see the
system changing gears, as it disengages from the eonic sequence into its
mideonic New Age, in an explosion of novel developments in the nineteenth
century. This is confusingly associated with the birth of modern capitalism, but
the overall picture is more complex than simple economics. Capitalism can fuel
economies, but it can’t produce an Adam Smith, the source of its own software.
The emergence of capitalist software (rapidly degenerating into ideology)
clearly constitutes an eonic emergent, and belongs to the eonic sequence.
As
we come close to home in our examination of eonic evolution, the issues of
ideology become critical. The answer is simple, we make no claim to have
transcended ideology. The affirmation of modernity, hence the eonic sequence, is
itself ideological. But we have a failsafe: our eonic sequence forces us to
examine all ideologies in all their combinations. As to the rise of the modern,
it is a fait accompli by 1800, a ‘very important turning point’, a
proposition difficult to refute. But our model allows the response of ‘general
TP4 exceptions’ and this appear without fail almost at once, climaxing in a
general postmodern reaction in our contemporary time-frame. We might counsel a
close examination of the post-Axial period in antiquity and ask if the undoing
of modernity in such a vein, with the loss once again of democracy and Science,
would constitute a fourth great turning point in history, falsifying our eonic
model. It is nonetheless critical, having summoned up an eonic model, to
consider its implications. At the point of the Great Divide, we are done, and
the eonic sequence shuts down. The effects of ‘system action’ are complete
as the process shifts to ‘free action’. Our analysis offers no guarantee
that the agents of modernity are anything better than mechanized exemplars of a
misunderstood secularism. A reactive process is inexorable, but in the travails
of globalization, we can hope for some substance in the claims of eonic
progression, progress or not.
The
construction of our model didn’t require the transcendence of ideology, since
all we have done is employ periodization. To resolve the issue of ideology, we
must find some way to define the observer of the system we are describing. In
fact, we have already done so and called him an eonic observer. But this
creature, so far, is no disembodied spectator of eternal history, but an agent
performing the realizations of the eonic emergents in his local timeframe. The
problem is that this observer is a creature of the very system he wishes to
describe. But we can at least describe this whole eonic effect, leaving open its
interpretation(s). In fact, we are
all already 'eonic observers' and every time we use the term 'modern' we give
expression to this fact. We have already noted the way we sense the eonic effect
without quite seeing its overall scale or meaning, and this is a good example.
We have a clear sense that a new era of history comes into existence, and our
usage is independent of the content or geographical region in which this is to
occur. We have a tendency to speak of 'Western Civilization', but as we can see
already that this is misleading. Miletus, one of the prime sources of the Greek
transition, would technically be considered 'Eastern', and the braiding of
Athens and Jerusalem, to say nothing of concealed elements of Indian religion,
make the term problematical. Not only that, but our usage of the term
'civilization' is conditioned by the focus on a different 'unit of analysis'
instead of the civilization. Our focus as an alternate unit is on the transition
and the oikoumene it creates.
It
seems to make no local sense to cut history into pieces, but we can see that
'modernity' makes complete sense if we think of it in terms of a 'modern
transition' of about three centuries from 1500 to 1800, at which point the
system crosses its divide into the modern period proper. What about the year
1499? Is this pre-modern? We never really answered the question as to why we
take a transition as three centuries in length, but the modern transition makes
this especially clear, for the whole period has a greater unity that makes it
plausible as an integrated transformation. Our model is some sort of
approximation that answers to the issue of directionality directly by the scale
of its analysis. There is no contradiction between continuous evolution from the
Middle Ages and the discontinuous effect of the eonic sequence. Both require
study.
That
the Protestant Reformation seems to contradict the final theme of secularization
misses the point entirely, and it is not hard to see how the climactic point of
the Enlightenment springs from the revolutionary and implicit issue of freedom
that the Reformation dramatizes so clearly in its 'revolution against theocracy'
and emphasis on religious individuality. The sixteenth century is as innovative
as it is convulsive, and its climax in the Thirty Years War initiates the sudden
clearing of the air that produces the equally remarkable seventeenth century,
the birth in seminal form of almost all the institutions of the modern world.
The second half of our transition then produces the flowering of the
Enlightenment, and we have noted this as the Great Divide. Thence we have the
new world of science, democracy, liberalism, and capitalist economies by which
we tend to define modernity. But it is important to note that our transition is
a complete spectrum of possibilities, that it has several Enlightenments, and
that it is not exclusively associated with capitalist economics. Capitalism is
an outcome of the modern transition and not the other way around.
It
is natural to try and find the causal antecedents of modernity in the middle
ages, and there is nothing wrong with this. Our stream and sequence analysis
suggests this double aspect. But now we have a larger model with some wallop and
it suggests a deeper 'causality of another kind', on the level of the eonic
sequence itself. But it never adds up. The Magna Carta doesn’t really explain
modern democratic revolutions. Not since the Axial period have we seem such a
rapid fire transformation, and what is more this resembles the Greek transition
in considerable detail, from the rebirths of democracy and science to the
appearance of a period we call the Enlightenment.
The
great master chord of modernity is the emergence of the idea of freedom and the
nexus of ideas surrounding this. In this sense the emergence of liberalism has
to considered for what it is, an independent synchronous emergentism in parallel
with the rise of science. It is important to consider this point since the
sudden downshifting into positivism shows the attempts to construct a universal
canon based on the successes of causal reasoning in physics. This will derail
the whole system if allowed to proceed without challenge, and that challenge
appeared almost immediately at the Great Divide, please note. Positivism is one
of the first regressions in our system. It
is important to consider this point since we tend, in an age of later scientism,
to define modernity in narrow terms of a type of rationality based on scientific
universalism. But the birth of the modern was more complex than this, and it
more accurate to say that 'causality and freedom' together form the 'dialectic'
of modernity.
It
is ironic therefore that the idea of freedom contains all the elements of the
mystique of the sacred and yet expresses this in secular form. The modern
transition wants nothing from a 'sacred age', and in any case creates a
pluralistic stage of religious freedom in which the heritage of antiquity can
find its place. And our transition spawns a virtual novelty, the revolution,
whose effect is clear almost from the German Social Revolution in the early
sixteenth century in concert with the Reformation, itself certainly another
revolution. The cascade of revolutions, to the English Civil War thence to the
French Revolution, is characteristically symptomatic of modernity, but an
endless controversy arises over their significance. It is too little noted that
most of these revolutions fail, and that that modernity appears from a broader
spectrum of causes than simple revolutions against traditional political forms.
And
yet, willy nilly, these revolutions, almost symbols rather than causally
constructive, are the omens of the emergence of the great early liberal age.
This issue has been clouded by the great confusion that overtook the concept of
revolution in the wake of Marxist thought. We can only conclude with Marx that
these revolutions were 'bourgeois revolutions' that produce liberal success
stories whose continuations as projected socialism occurred well outside the
transition itself. The issue of some kind of post-capitalism, an important issue
for the future, without a doubt, simply does not occur inside our modern
transition, one reason no doubt that Marxists were unprepared for unexpected
outcomes of trying to undo the modern transition as soon as it appeared. Clearly
our eonic model, which doesn't really settle the question here, nonetheless
accurately reflects the facts of what the modern transition does, and shows why
ill-conceived models of revolution based on the misleading evidence of its
embedded revolutions have gone awry. This is not a new form of legitimation of
capitalism (in the sense of making it a teleological stage of history), only
that its emergence in concert with liberalism is a prime eonic incident, where
ad hoc revolutionary schemes were simply harebrained adventurism. That says
nothing, again, about the future, and we must emphasize that injecting
historical inevitability into the post-eonic future is most ill-advised. Our
model comes to the end of its last transition and comes to a stop, a great
advantage--or disadvantage of this kind of model.
One
revolution that did succeed was that of abolitionism. We can listen respectfully
to Christians attempting to explain why Christianity began the struggle against
slavery, but we can only conclude in the end that the modern abolitionist
movement appears like an apparition near the modern divide and gets the job
done, where before it was mostly talk. That some of these abolitionists were
Christians is hardly convincing. They show eonic determination as 'Christians in
the eonic sequence' while Christians outside the sequence showed very little
effort in this regard. It is nonetheless true that abolition is gestating from
the Axial period (or before) and that the birth of freedom, however stillborn
and partial, is also rightly taken as an achievement of that prior stage of the
eonic series.
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