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One of basic claims of the proponents of natural selection lies in the
reality of random evolution. The biologist Richard Dawkins has attempted to deny
this fact, by claiming that natural selection is somehow a non-random process.
But this has changed the context of the discussion and nothing he has claimed
really changes the issue: that there is no long-range, directional, or
independent macroevolutionary process that can redirect evolutionary outcomes,
which, in fact, occur at random. Selectionist theories have always been about
random evolution. Thus the question arises: what do we mean by non-random
evolution, and how can we detect it if it exists?
The surprising answer comes from the discovery and perception of the eonic
effect. At first we simply examine this as a non-random pattern in world
history, leaving aside its connection, if any, to evolution in general. One of
the problems with Darwinian theory lies in the difficulty of observing
evolution, hence natural selection, at close range. We are lucky indeed if we
can zoom in on continuous records shorter than ten thousand years. What if the
crucial issues of the suspected macroevolution occur at high speed inside such
short intervals? We would miss them completely. Do we have any data at such
close range? Actually, the only such data lies in the record of world history,
which provides a rough, almost adequate, ten thousand year interval since the
Neolithic, and a better record at five thousand years since the invention of
writing.
If we systematically examine this record, using various experiments in
periodization, we discover to our surprise that this immense data set simply
doesn't conform to our assumptions about randomness. It shows distinct
clustering in the form of advancing zones of action, and this once detected,
causes us to suddenly perceive a larger gestalt, whatever it means, in the form
of a set of transition-like intervals that show very rapid emergentist
phenomena.
Perhaps the clearest example is the data of the so-called Axial Age. Within
the space of a few centuries an immense change in cultures occurs synchronously
in multiple separate locations across the length of the Eurasian landmass. This
symphony of sudden effects shows us there is a 'macro something' that can
operate on a whole stream of culture, and not only this, but simultaneously in
many difficult locations at once. This mindboggling possibility lies directly in
our 'recent' past, and shows us that our standard of ten thousand years even is
far too coarse-grained: our 'macro' factor requires centuries level
observations!
The so-called 'eonic effect' is a name we give to this pattern of effects:
there are several ways to see it. We can generalize from the example of the
Axial Age, since its uniqueness seems unlikely. Or we can (could have) simply
examine (examined) world history form deviations from the norm of randomness.
Once we suspect what's afoot, we close in rapidly on the result: a distinct from
of alternating sequencing ( a better phrase than the contentious 'cyclical'
terminology), almost like a feedback device, but timed to switch on at regular
intervals. The whole five thousand year period since the invention of writing
sudden stands out as a coherent whole, with a directed mainline, a clear
non-random pattern, and a whopper at that.
But what is the connection to 'evolution'?
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